Weekly Agri- Commodities Recap: 29/07-02/08/24
Aug 05, 2024
Monday started with weaker futures markets as Russian wheat production increased while French wheat faced quality issues due to adverse weather. Algeria bought 100,000 tons of barley at around USD 218.80. Russia's central bank raised interest rates to 18%. Net short positions in wheat, corn, and soybeans were reduced.
Tuesday saw wheat futures recover nicely after an early dip, with corn and soybeans also slightly improved. Russian wheat prices hovered around USD 220. The Swiss grain harvest was disappointing, with yields down 30% due to a wet spring, mirroring poor results in France. Tunisia announced a tender for 125,000 metric tons of soft milling wheat and 50,000 tons of durum wheat. USDA export inspections showed strong numbers for soybeans, wheat, and corn.
Wednesday futures markets closed weaker, starting the day in the red. The cash grain market felt weaker with increased offers from the Black Sea region and subdued demand. U.S. corn and wheat looked attractive due to competitive prices. Brazil saw strong movement with farmers bringing soybeans and corn to market, with the corn harvest advancing rapidly. Tunisia acquired 125,000 metric tons of soft milling wheat and 50,000 metric tons of durum wheat.
Thursday saw Chicago corn futures drop below USD 4.00 for the first time in four years. Wheat markets were mixed, while the bean oil share gained. Jordan passed on a barley tender but will issue a new one on August 7. Cash grain markets were quiet, with Russian wheat showing a weaker tone. The French wheat harvest continued to disappoint. Taiwan's MFIG purchased 65,000 metric tons of Brazilian corn, and Ukraine’s 2024 grain forecast was reduced to 71.8 million metric tons due to heatwaves. Friday saw slight short covering in CBOT due to a weaker U.S. dollar, though European prices stayed weak. The USDA reported a private sale of 202,000 tons of soybeans to China for the 2024/2025 marketing year. Funds reduced their net short in corn while increasing their net short in soybeans. Concerns about a potential U.S. recession impacted global markets and currencies, offering some short-term support for CBOT prices. Weather forecasts suggest favorable conditions for harvest progress in France.
Weekly Recaps
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
23–27/06/25 Agri
Jun 30, 2025
The week opened with a sharp pullback across grain markets as the geopolitical risk premium evaporated following U.S. President Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. While the truce remained fragile—lacking official confirmation from Israel—market sentiment quickly pivoted back to fundamentals. Pressure mounted as U.S. crop conditions were mixed and EU wheat yield projections were revised higher, particularly in southern and eastern Europe. U.S. export inspections provided little optimism, with soybeans and wheat underperforming, and fund positioning indicated heavy corn selling alongside increased soybean buying.
Freight
Freight Recap:
26/06/25
Jun 19, 2025
The Panamax market continued to show resilience this week, holding around the USD 12,800/day level on the 5TC index. Gains were seen across both basins, driven by steady demand and tightening tonnage in key loading areas.
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
16–20/06/25 Agri
Jun 23, 2025
Monday opened with wheat and corn giving back gains from the prior session, pressured by generally favorable U.S. crop outlooks. Corn conditions improved to 72% good-to-excellent (G/E), aligning with last year’s level, while soybean ratings declined to 66% G/E. Winter wheat condition unexpectedly slipped, and harvest progress remained significantly delayed. Export inspections showed continued strength for corn, while soybean oil surged on tighter-than-expected NOPA stocks. Geopolitics hovered in the background as Iran signaled a desire to avoid escalation with Israel, while Turkey offered to mediate talks.
Freight
Freight Recap:
19/06/25
Jun 19, 2025
The Panamax Atlantic market showed signs of plateauing this week, with reduced spot activity prompting concerns of near-term softening. North Atlantic visibility remained limited, with owners and charterers continuing to disagree on rate expectations, leading to a widening bid-offer gap.
