Weekly Agri- Commodities Recap: 29/07-02/08/24
Aug 05, 2024
Monday started with weaker futures markets as Russian wheat production increased while French wheat faced quality issues due to adverse weather. Algeria bought 100,000 tons of barley at around USD 218.80. Russia's central bank raised interest rates to 18%. Net short positions in wheat, corn, and soybeans were reduced.
Tuesday saw wheat futures recover nicely after an early dip, with corn and soybeans also slightly improved. Russian wheat prices hovered around USD 220. The Swiss grain harvest was disappointing, with yields down 30% due to a wet spring, mirroring poor results in France. Tunisia announced a tender for 125,000 metric tons of soft milling wheat and 50,000 tons of durum wheat. USDA export inspections showed strong numbers for soybeans, wheat, and corn.
Wednesday futures markets closed weaker, starting the day in the red. The cash grain market felt weaker with increased offers from the Black Sea region and subdued demand. U.S. corn and wheat looked attractive due to competitive prices. Brazil saw strong movement with farmers bringing soybeans and corn to market, with the corn harvest advancing rapidly. Tunisia acquired 125,000 metric tons of soft milling wheat and 50,000 metric tons of durum wheat.
Thursday saw Chicago corn futures drop below USD 4.00 for the first time in four years. Wheat markets were mixed, while the bean oil share gained. Jordan passed on a barley tender but will issue a new one on August 7. Cash grain markets were quiet, with Russian wheat showing a weaker tone. The French wheat harvest continued to disappoint. Taiwan's MFIG purchased 65,000 metric tons of Brazilian corn, and Ukraine’s 2024 grain forecast was reduced to 71.8 million metric tons due to heatwaves. Friday saw slight short covering in CBOT due to a weaker U.S. dollar, though European prices stayed weak. The USDA reported a private sale of 202,000 tons of soybeans to China for the 2024/2025 marketing year. Funds reduced their net short in corn while increasing their net short in soybeans. Concerns about a potential U.S. recession impacted global markets and currencies, offering some short-term support for CBOT prices. Weather forecasts suggest favorable conditions for harvest progress in France.
Weekly Recaps
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
6-10/1 /25 AGRI
Jan 13, 2025
Monday: Grain markets rebounded from Friday's losses, bolstered by a weaker dollar and pre-USDA report positioning. CBOT-denominated prices gained, though MATIF milling wheat remained an outlier. U.S. weekly export inspections showed mixed results, with wheat exceeding expectations while corn and soybeans remained within range. In Argentina, persistent hot and dry conditions continued to pose risks, while Brazil benefited from favorable weather. Kansas winter wheat conditions declined, adding concerns over the domestic crop.
Freight
Freight Recap:
09/01/25
Dec 12, 2024
The Atlantic market began with initial strength due to limited New Year tonnage, but rates flattened as more vessels entered the region. In the south, oversupply led to discounted rates, and forward fixing remained cautious. Spot vessels maintained premiums, but lack of fresh demand in the north and a long tonnage list saw rates ease, favoring charterers. EC South America faced additional pressure from long ballast lists and sub-index equivalent fixtures for early February.
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
9-13/12 /24 AGRI
Dec 16, 2024
Monday: US wheat futures began the week on a positive note but struggled to maintain gains as MATIF wheat remained unresponsive. Corn saw slight upward movement, while soybeans softened ahead of Tuesday’s USDA report. The Russian wheat market showed resilience, with FOB prices for 12.5% protein wheat climbing to $228/ton, up $2 from the previous week. Concerns about the poor condition of Russian winter grains were tempered by IKAR analysts suggesting the reality may be less dire. Meanwhile, China’s Politburo announced aggressive economic stimulus measures, signaling a shift in fiscal and monetary policies, but these had minimal impact on grains. U.S. export inspections highlighted weak performance in wheat, with only 227k tons inspected, significantly below the previous week’s 299k tons.
Freight
Freight Recap:
19/12/24
Dec 12, 2024
Panamax transatlantic activity saw a modest boost as charterers sought coverage ahead of the holiday season, but an oversupply of tonnage in the East Mediterranean kept pressure on rates. Fronthaul routes remained lackluster due to weak demand from the Black Sea and continued ballasting toward Gibraltar, leaving the market constrained.
