Weekly Freight Recap: 31/10/24
Oct 31, 2024
PANAMAX
Atlantic: The Panamax market held a mixed tone this week. North Atlantic grain trades maintained a premium, though overall improvements were limited by static fronthaul activity. East Coast South America faced significant tonnage oversupply, pushing rates lower for November liftings. Without new demand, rates are likely to remain steady or slightly under pressure, especially in the South Atlantic.
Pacific: In Asia, muted demand and cautious sentiment were the norms. While some talk suggested a floor in certain routes, limited trades kept rates mostly soft. Upcoming seasonal coal demand could boost activity, but with sluggish conditions likely for the next two weeks, a solid rebound remains uncertain.
SUPRAMAX
Atlantic: In the Atlantic, a slow market continued for Supramax, though there was some activity in the Continent and Mediterranean regions. The US Gulf and South Atlantic remained subdued, with high tonnage availability contributing to a negative outlook. Market fundamentals were stronger in the US Gulf, providing limited support amid a quieter week overall.
Pacific: In Asia, Supramax demand continued to weaken, leading to downward rate pressure as tonnage availability rose. While volumes picked up early in the week, sustained improvement was lacking, keeping rates generally stable but subdued.
HANDYSIZE
Atlantic: The Handysize market was relatively quiet. In the Continent and Mediterranean, scrap orders provided some activity, but overall fixing details were limited. Fundamentals in the US Gulf and South Atlantic stayed strong, giving a slight lift to market sentiment, though no major changes in fixtures surfaced.
Pacific: In the Pacific, conditions were challenging due to increasing tonnage and limited cargo availability, leading to further declines in rates. Despite the lack of activity, the market remains somewhat steady, with a mix of positional sentiment and cautious optimism.
Weekly Recaps
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
6-10/1 /25 AGRI
Jan 13, 2025
Monday: Grain markets rebounded from Friday's losses, bolstered by a weaker dollar and pre-USDA report positioning. CBOT-denominated prices gained, though MATIF milling wheat remained an outlier. U.S. weekly export inspections showed mixed results, with wheat exceeding expectations while corn and soybeans remained within range. In Argentina, persistent hot and dry conditions continued to pose risks, while Brazil benefited from favorable weather. Kansas winter wheat conditions declined, adding concerns over the domestic crop.
Freight
Freight Recap:
09/01/25
Dec 12, 2024
The Atlantic market began with initial strength due to limited New Year tonnage, but rates flattened as more vessels entered the region. In the south, oversupply led to discounted rates, and forward fixing remained cautious. Spot vessels maintained premiums, but lack of fresh demand in the north and a long tonnage list saw rates ease, favoring charterers. EC South America faced additional pressure from long ballast lists and sub-index equivalent fixtures for early February.
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
9-13/12 /24 AGRI
Dec 16, 2024
Monday: US wheat futures began the week on a positive note but struggled to maintain gains as MATIF wheat remained unresponsive. Corn saw slight upward movement, while soybeans softened ahead of Tuesday’s USDA report. The Russian wheat market showed resilience, with FOB prices for 12.5% protein wheat climbing to $228/ton, up $2 from the previous week. Concerns about the poor condition of Russian winter grains were tempered by IKAR analysts suggesting the reality may be less dire. Meanwhile, China’s Politburo announced aggressive economic stimulus measures, signaling a shift in fiscal and monetary policies, but these had minimal impact on grains. U.S. export inspections highlighted weak performance in wheat, with only 227k tons inspected, significantly below the previous week’s 299k tons.
Freight
Freight Recap:
19/12/24
Dec 12, 2024
Panamax transatlantic activity saw a modest boost as charterers sought coverage ahead of the holiday season, but an oversupply of tonnage in the East Mediterranean kept pressure on rates. Fronthaul routes remained lackluster due to weak demand from the Black Sea and continued ballasting toward Gibraltar, leaving the market constrained.
