Weekly Freight Recap: 21/11/24
Nov 21, 2024
PANAMAX
Atlantic: The Atlantic Panamax market faced strong headwinds with minimal fresh demand, especially from EC South America and the US Gulf, leading to an oversupply of tonnage and lower rates. Baltic cargo provided limited support, but overall, sentiment remained bearish. Seasonal factors may bring a bounce in February when the Brazilian soybean season begins, but near-term demand remains subdued.
Pacific: The Pacific basin saw slightly better activity, with steady Australian demand offering some relief. However, growing tonnage counts kept rates under pressure, and charterers remained cautious. Global congestion levels for loading are at their lowest in 2023, while discharging congestion has risen but remains below average. Overall, the outlook is challenging, with rates unlikely to recover meaningfully in the short term.
SUPRAMAX
Atlantic: The Atlantic Supramax market continued to struggle, with oversupply of tonnage and weak demand in the US Gulf and South Atlantic pushing rates lower. The Continent and Mediterranean markets saw slight stability, but overall, the Atlantic remained under pressure.
Pacific: In the Pacific, high tonnage levels kept rates soft, despite limited signs of stabilization in Northern Asia. Period activity was sparse, and overall sentiment stayed weak. The Indian Ocean also experienced patchy demand, contributing to subdued rates across the sector.
HANDYSIZE
Atlantic: The Handysize market saw mixed sentiment. While rates in the South Atlantic showed slight improvement due to stronger fundamentals, the US Gulf remained under pressure with heavy tonnage availability and weak demand. The Continent and Mediterranean held steady at previous levels, but no significant gains were recorded.
Pacific: The Pacific Handysize market faced challenges, with rising tonnage levels and a lack of fresh cargo forcing owners to lower their rate expectations. Overall, the regional market remained soft, with limited activity and downward pressure on rates.
Weekly Recaps
Freight
Freight Recap:
20/11/25
Nov 20, 2025
The dry bulk market showed a steady but uneven performance, with Handysize activity quiet, Supramax maintaining a firm underlying tone, and Panamax supported by stronger fundamentals in both basins. The Atlantic remained broadly stable, supported by positional tightness in some regions, while the Pacific held steady despite lighter fixing. Period and voyage activity continued across segments, reflecting balanced supply and demand dynamics.
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
10-14/11/25 Agri
Nov 17, 2025
Grain markets firmed at the start of the week as headlines about a possible end to the U.S. government shutdown lifted CBOT futures, while European wheat lagged and improved EU export competitiveness. Market participants noted that, without fresh supportive catalysts, the rally might prove short-lived. Average trade estimates placed U.S. corn and soybean harvests at 92% and 96% complete, with winter wheat 95% planted and 52% good/excellent, though official USDA data remained unavailable due to the shutdown.
Egypt’s state buyer Mostakbal Misr was reported to have bought around 500k tons of wheat for late December–January delivery, including roughly 200k tons from Russia. Russian 12.5% FOB wheat closed last week at $232/t, slightly up on the week. Brazil’s 25/26 corn crop was forecast by Safras at 143.6 mmt, well above USDA’s September estimate. U.S. export inspections showed solid corn and soybean volumes but cumulative soybean loadings remained 6.4 mmt behind last year.
Freight
Freight Recap:
13/11/25
Nov 13, 2025
The dry bulk market showed a mixed performance, with Handysize activity remaining limited, Supramax maintaining firmer sentiment, and Panamax extending its gains on stronger fundamentals. The Atlantic generally held a positive tone across most segments, while the Pacific remained steady but slower, with Asian Handysize and Supramax markets facing softer enquiry and longer tonnage lists. Period interest persisted in both Supramax and Panamax sectors, supported by balanced fundamentals and improving demand signals.
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
03-07/11/25 Agri
Nov 10, 2025
Soybeans extended their rally on expectations of accelerating Chinese demand, while rumors of U.S. wheat sales to China lifted Chicago futures. Corn stayed firm after StoneX raised its U.S. yield estimate to 186.0 bu/acre, though many still expect revisions lower in upcoming reports. Harvest progress reached 91% for soybeans and 83% for corn, with winter wheat planting nearly complete at 91%.
Export inspections totaled 965k t of soybeans, 1.67 mmt of corn, and 350k t of wheat—broadly in line with expectations. Despite easing trade tensions, Chinese importers continued booking cheaper Brazilian soybeans, reportedly 20 cargoes for December through mid-2026. Kazakhstan’s agriculture ministry reported a 27.1 mmt total harvest, including 20.3 mmt of wheat, far above USDA’s 16 mmt estimate.
