Weekly Freight Recap: 21/11/24

Nov 21, 2024

PANAMAX

Atlantic: The Atlantic Panamax market faced strong headwinds with minimal fresh demand, especially from EC South America and the US Gulf, leading to an oversupply of tonnage and lower rates. Baltic cargo provided limited support, but overall, sentiment remained bearish. Seasonal factors may bring a bounce in February when the Brazilian soybean season begins, but near-term demand remains subdued.

Pacific: The Pacific basin saw slightly better activity, with steady Australian demand offering some relief. However, growing tonnage counts kept rates under pressure, and charterers remained cautious. Global congestion levels for loading are at their lowest in 2023, while discharging congestion has risen but remains below average. Overall, the outlook is challenging, with rates unlikely to recover meaningfully in the short term.

SUPRAMAX

Atlantic: The Atlantic Supramax market continued to struggle, with oversupply of tonnage and weak demand in the US Gulf and South Atlantic pushing rates lower. The Continent and Mediterranean markets saw slight stability, but overall, the Atlantic remained under pressure.

Pacific: In the Pacific, high tonnage levels kept rates soft, despite limited signs of stabilization in Northern Asia. Period activity was sparse, and overall sentiment stayed weak. The Indian Ocean also experienced patchy demand, contributing to subdued rates across the sector.

HANDYSIZE

Atlantic: The Handysize market saw mixed sentiment. While rates in the South Atlantic showed slight improvement due to stronger fundamentals, the US Gulf remained under pressure with heavy tonnage availability and weak demand. The Continent and Mediterranean held steady at previous levels, but no significant gains were recorded.

Pacific: The Pacific Handysize market faced challenges, with rising tonnage levels and a lack of fresh cargo forcing owners to lower their rate expectations. Overall, the regional market remained soft, with limited activity and downward pressure on rates.

Weekly Recaps

Freight

Freight Recap:
05/06/25

Jun 05, 2025

The Panamax Atlantic market showed signs of a strong rebound, especially in both the North and South where firmer bids and tightening tonnage contributed to rising sentiment. Fixtures suggested that some charterers may have overplayed their hand, triggering a jump in rates

Commodities

Agri- Commodities:
26–30 /5/25 Agri

Jun 02, 2025

Monday opened quietly in Europe as U.S. markets remained closed for Memorial Day. MATIF wheat traded lower in thin volumes, but losses were limited by concerns over dry conditions in France and rising temperatures in Russia. The May JRC MARS Bulletin painted a mixed EU crop outlook, nudging soft wheat yield estimates slightly higher but trimming rapeseed expectations. Meanwhile, geopolitical noise grew louder with President Trump mulling new sanctions against Russia, and Germany lifting range restrictions on Ukrainian strikes using Western weapons.

Freight

Freight Recap:
29/05/25

May 29, 2025

The Atlantic market struggled with weak sentiment throughout the week. Following recent holidays, demand remained soft and fresh cargoes were limited, particularly in the North. In the South, while some fixing activity was noted, oversupply of ships continued to weigh heavily on rates. Owners faced increasing pressure as charterers held firm, and some vessels were reported fixing below last done.

Commodities

Agri- Commodities:
19-23/5/25 Agri

May 26, 2025

Grain markets exhibited volatility throughout Week 21, with wheat prices leading a mid-week rally before easing slightly into the weekend. Early in the week, MATIF milling wheat weakened in response to Saudi Arabia’s tender, which confirmed continued preference for competitively priced Black Sea wheat. Meanwhile, CBOT futures found strength, buoyed by a broader risk-on sentiment in financial markets after a brief dip following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating. U.S. corn inspections came in strong, and planting progress remained well ahead of the five-year average, though winter wheat conditions unexpectedly declined. On the geopolitical front, markets briefly reacted to the news of prospective ceasefire talks between Ukraine and Russia, although subsequent clarifications tempered expectations.

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