Articles & News
Weekly Recaps
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
6-10/1 /25 AGRI
Jan 13, 2025
Monday: Grain markets rebounded from Friday's losses, bolstered by a weaker dollar and pre-USDA report positioning. CBOT-denominated prices gained, though MATIF milling wheat remained an outlier. U.S. weekly export inspections showed mixed results, with wheat exceeding expectations while corn and soybeans remained within range. In Argentina, persistent hot and dry conditions continued to pose risks, while Brazil benefited from favorable weather. Kansas winter wheat conditions declined, adding concerns over the domestic crop.
Freight
Freight Recap:
09/01/25
Dec 12, 2024
The Atlantic market began with initial strength due to limited New Year tonnage, but rates flattened as more vessels entered the region. In the south, oversupply led to discounted rates, and forward fixing remained cautious. Spot vessels maintained premiums, but lack of fresh demand in the north and a long tonnage list saw rates ease, favoring charterers. EC South America faced additional pressure from long ballast lists and sub-index equivalent fixtures for early February.
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
9-13/12 /24 AGRI
Dec 16, 2024
Monday: US wheat futures began the week on a positive note but struggled to maintain gains as MATIF wheat remained unresponsive. Corn saw slight upward movement, while soybeans softened ahead of Tuesday’s USDA report. The Russian wheat market showed resilience, with FOB prices for 12.5% protein wheat climbing to $228/ton, up $2 from the previous week. Concerns about the poor condition of Russian winter grains were tempered by IKAR analysts suggesting the reality may be less dire. Meanwhile, China’s Politburo announced aggressive economic stimulus measures, signaling a shift in fiscal and monetary policies, but these had minimal impact on grains. U.S. export inspections highlighted weak performance in wheat, with only 227k tons inspected, significantly below the previous week’s 299k tons.
Freight
Freight Recap:
19/12/24
Dec 12, 2024
Panamax transatlantic activity saw a modest boost as charterers sought coverage ahead of the holiday season, but an oversupply of tonnage in the East Mediterranean kept pressure on rates. Fronthaul routes remained lackluster due to weak demand from the Black Sea and continued ballasting toward Gibraltar, leaving the market constrained.
Latest Interviews
Interview
Augusto Abati
Jun 06, 2024
Will wheat planting be tough for Brazilian farmers? Listen to how we discuss about the current situation in Brazilian markets, the challenges faced by local farmers, conflicting corn crop estimates, and what all this means for prices.
Interview
Dan Basse - Part II
Apr 17, 2024
How could Russia's consolidation impact prices? In this interview, we discuss the growing influence of the Russian government in grain trading. We also discuss the global grain market and various factors such as demand, weather patterns, and the emergence of AI in trading strategies. We explore these questions further in an interview (part 2 of 2) with Dan Basse.
Interview
Dan Basse - Part I
Apr 15, 2024
Farmers across the world are facing an uphill battle – What is the difference between American and European farmers communities? Dive into the heart of the matter – as European farmers take to the streets in protest, American farmers face a different kind of struggle, with growing concerns about their mental health based on an/with an up tap/increase in farmers suicides across the US. Wondering what lies ahead? Is the bear market finally behind us/over? Gain insights from our exclusive interview with Dan Basse.
Interview
Nikolay Gorbochov - Part II
May 24, 2023
What is the potential impact the EU restrictions imposed on Ukrainian grain imports? We discuss whether these measures are temporary and highlight any reasons for EU farmers to express concerns. How critical it is to maintain a smooth flow of Ukrainian grain and what could be the potential impacts if grain exports were to halt. Additionally, alternative options to ensure the continuous movement of Ukrainian grain are discussed.
Latest Conference
Podcasts & Blogs
Marc Cochet Myllerup on Steno Research Podcast
Our colleague Marc Cochet Myllerup joined a conversation with Mikkel Rosenvold and Andreas Steno Larsen at Steno Research to discuss soybeans, corn, and wheat markets. His insights highlighted challenges such as reduced wheat yields in France and Russia, and India's increased wheat imports. Marc emphasized the crucial role of weather and geopolitical factors in commodity markets, offering practical insights. He also shared how using CM Navigator, an innovative research tool, enhances market prediction capabilities, providing valuable insights for making informed investment decisions.
Interview
Marc Cochet Myllerup on Steno Research Podcast
Jul 02, 2024
Our colleague Marc Cochet Myllerup joined a conversation with Mikkel Rosenvold and Andreas Steno Larsen at Steno Research to discuss soybeans, corn, and wheat markets. His insights highlighted challenges such as reduced wheat yields in France and Russia, and India's increased wheat imports. Marc emphasized the crucial role of weather and geopolitical factors in commodity markets, offering practical insights. He also shared how using CM Navigator, an innovative research tool, enhances market prediction capabilities, providing valuable insights for making informed investment decisions.
Recent Articles
Article
Historical Data in Commodity Markets
Mar 15, 2024
In the complex world of commodity trading, the saying "history repeats itself" serves not merely as a philosophical thinking but as a foundational principle that supports investment and trading strategies. This is particularly relevant in...
Article
Increased Transparency in Dry Bulk Freight Markets
Feb 05, 2024
Shipping markets have traditionally been opaque and closed, controlled by relatively few market participants placed in locations far away from demand for freight services, e.g. Greece, Monaco or Denmark. Given that ship supply in ...
Article
Agricultural Supply and Demand Forecasting
Jan 02, 2024
In the global agricultural commodity markets, the ongoing ability to follow and forecast crop progress with accuracy is not just an advantage; it's a necessity to be able to compete. The interplay of multiple factors makes the ‘supply and demand dynamics’ complex...
