Weekly Freight Recap: 24/07/25

Jul 24, 2025

Overview

The dry bulk market remained mixed this week, with Handysize holding steady under regional variations, Supramax softening further in the Atlantic while maintaining relative stability in Asia, and Panamax showing broader signs of caution and positional softening. Limited fresh demand across key Atlantic load regions, combined with a lack of forward cargo visibility, weighed on sentiment, while Asia displayed firmer fundamentals in the smaller sizes but remained subdued for larger segments.

Handysize

The Handysize market saw another session of mixed activity, with sentiment largely shaped by positional dynamics. The Continent and Mediterranean remained balanced with minimal rate changes, while the U.S. Gulf showed a more active fixing environment yet without meaningful upward momentum.

In Asia, the market held a firmer tone despite lower fixing volumes. Tighter vessel availability in Southeast Asia and the North Pacific encouraged charterers to raise their offers. For example, the Link Amici (34,398 dwt, 2015), open in Lanshan, was fixed for a trip from North China to Malaysia at $13,250 with GEL. Overall, regional dynamics supported a slightly positive sentiment.

Supramax

The Supramax segment continued to face downward pressure in the Atlantic, with little new demand from the U.S. Gulf or EC South America. Owners adjusted expectations lower to secure coverage, while limited fresh fixing information from the Mediterranean and Continent suggested muted momentum.

In contrast, Asia held relatively steady, supported by steady demand and stable fundamentals. The Indian Ocean market maintained its levels despite a slight reduction in activity. Notable fixtures included the Panemorfi (61,430 dwt, 2013) for a fertiliser run to the U.S. Gulf in the low $20,000s, and the Captain Lucas (63,686 dwt, 2025) fixing at $15,000 to $15,500 for an Australian round trip. Coastal India also saw activity, with the Bulk Castor (66,624 dwt, 2015) fixed for $17,000.

Panamax

The Panamax market continued its cautious trajectory, with the BPI timecharter average correcting by $40 to close at $17,142. Sentiment across both basins remained fragile, with limited fresh inquiry and hesitant charterers keeping rates in check.

Early support in the Atlantic from fronthaul demand in the North Atlantic was offset by subdued activity in EC South America, where rising ballast tonnage and limited fresh inquiry weighed on rates. The FFA market reflected this cautious mood, keeping charterers defensive.

In the Pacific, Indonesian cargoes offered some support, but mixed signals and a few failed post-fixture deals softened overall sentiment. Notable fixtures included the Bulk Croatia on a U.S. Gulf to Skaw–Gibraltar trip, and the ASL Venus fixed for a U.S. East Coast to India voyage at around $29,000. Rates for NoPac rounds and EC Australia trips remained under pressure, with some vessels fixing in the mid $12,000 to $16,500 range.

Regional Pulse

Atlantic Basin

  • North Atlantic and U.S. Gulf lacked fresh cargo, with Supramax and Panamax sentiment weakening

  • EC South America quiet for second-half August dates, with rising ballast tonnage pressuring rates

  • Continent/Mediterranean showed slight resilience in Handysize but limited new demand overall

Pacific Basin

  • Asian Handysize and Supramax segments maintained balanced fundamentals despite low fixing volume

  • Panamax market struggled under prompt tonnage oversupply and slow cargo flow in the North Pacific

  • Indonesian coal demand provided some support, but broader Pacific sentiment remained flat to soft

Indian Ocean & Middle East Gulf

  • Indian Ocean Supramax levels held steady despite slightly reduced activity

  • Coastal India fixtures (e.g., Bulk Castor at $17,000) showed positional resilience

  • Middle East Gulf demand remained thin, with limited new fixtures emerging for August

Port & Trade Policy Developments

Ghana Port Transparency Rules Welcomed

The Chamber of Freight Forwarders and Traders in Ghana praised the central bank’s new directive mandating port service providers to publicly display daily exchange rates used for billing. The policy, effective July 22, aims to enhance transparency, reduce inconsistent port charges, and lower operational costs for importers and exporters. Shipping lines, terminal operators, and freight forwarders must now publish official rates online and in physical offices before invoicing.

India Modernises Maritime Documentation

India’s Parliament cleared the Bills of Lading, 2025 bill, replacing the 169-year-old legislation with a modern, globally aligned framework. The reform introduces legal recognition for electronic Bills of Lading (eBLs), reduces paperwork, and streamlines port documentation processes. Industry stakeholders welcomed the move, citing its potential to boost logistics efficiency, cut transaction costs, and align India’s maritime trade practices with international standards.

Outlook

Looking ahead, key focus areas include:

  • Panamax market movement tied to South American grain exports and cautious positional sentiment

  • Persistent pressure in the Atlantic Supramax segment due to weak U.S. Gulf and ECSA demand

  • Relative stability expected for smaller vessel sizes in Asia, while Pacific Panamax may soften amid excess prompt tonnage

  • Trade facilitation improvements from policy changes in Ghana and India, aimed at lowering logistics costs and enhancing digital documentation efficiency

Weekly Recaps

Freight

Freight Recap:
6/11/25

Nov 06, 2025

The dry bulk market experienced a generally softer tone this week, with most segments facing mild corrections. The Handysize and Supramax sectors saw limited fresh activity, while the Panamax market showed brief midweek stability before continuing its downward trajectory. Weak demand across basins and growing vessel availability placed pressure on rates, though select regional improvements offered some support.

Commodities

Agri- Commodities:
27-31/10/25 Agri

Nov 03, 2025

Grain markets opened the week firmer after upbeat headlines on a potential U.S.–China trade deal lifted risk appetite across commodities. The optimism came despite limited clarity on agricultural commitments and lingering pressure from weaker export data.

Russian wheat prices were slightly lower, while EU maize yields were trimmed further. In Argentina, the peso strengthened after President Javier Milei’s party secured a midterm victory. U.S. harvest progress advanced, though export inspections remained subdued.

Freight

Freight Recap:
30/10/25

Oct 30, 2025

Freight markets continued to ease across the board this week, with Panamax, Supramax, and Handysize segments all facing renewed pressure. Sentiment turned cautious as limited fresh demand and increasing tonnage lists in both basins weighed on rates, suggesting that the short-lived rally in mid-October may have topped out.

Commodities

Agri- Commodities:
20-24/10/25 Agri

Oct 27, 2025

Grain markets experienced a volatile but directionally mixed week, driven by optimism surrounding renewed US–China trade talks, fluctuating macro sentiment, and shifting global production estimates. Soybeans led early in the week, supported by trade optimism and strong export inspections, while wheat and corn were more restrained, pressured by abundant supply outlooks and mixed demand signals.

Monday began on a firm note, particularly for soybeans, which rallied sharply on upbeat remarks from President Trump about a potential trade deal with China. The oilseed market gained double digits amid rising hopes of resumed Chinese purchases. Wheat and corn, by contrast, traded mixed, with bearish pressure from improved Russian and Australian wheat crop outlooks limiting upside. IKAR raised Russia’s 2025 wheat forecast to 88.0 mmt and Australia’s harvest was seen near 36 mmt—its third largest on record. Still, lower prices encouraged demand, with Algeria issuing a December wheat tender.

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