Agri- Commodities 27-1/08/25
Aug 04, 2025
Monday
opened with pressure across CBOT markets as favorable U.S. weather and Argentina’s cut to export taxes weighed on soybeans and corn, pushing both further below key psychological thresholds of $10 and $4, respectively. A new EU–U.S. trade agreement failed to lift agricultural prices but contributed to a sharp decline in the EUR/USD, offering direct support to MATIF wheat. U.S. wheat futures remained mostly unchanged.
Tuesday
saw MATIF wheat reverse course, giving back most of Monday’s gains despite a weaker euro. U.S. futures declined across the board amid sustained expectations for strong domestic corn and soybean yields. Market participants remained cautious ahead of ongoing U.S.–China trade talks, which were expected to yield limited progress. The Federal Reserve was also in focus, with rate decisions and commentary anticipated to influence currency and commodity markets.
Wednesday
brought a mixed session as wheat markets diverged; CBOT edged up while MATIF slipped again, reflecting the ongoing drop in the EUR/USD and concerns over slow harvest progress in Europe. Soybeans fell for the eighth straight session, while corn steadied somewhat in quiet trade. Month-end positioning emerged as a potential driver of fund activity.
Thursday
marked a poor end to July for grains, with December contracts in both MATIF and CBOT wheat hitting new lows. Soybeans extended their decline amid frustration over lackluster progress in U.S.–China negotiations. However, nearby corn and Kansas wheat futures posted gains, buoyed by new U.S. export sales.
Friday
opened August on a bearish note, with financial markets reacting to updated U.S. import tariffs and weaker-than-expected jobs data. The broader selloff spilled into agricultural markets, driving further losses in wheat and corn. Soybeans were the only exception, closing unchanged.
Weekly Recaps
Freight
Freight Recap:
18/12/25
Dec 18, 2025
The dry bulk market saw a softer overall tone, with Handysize holding largely flat, Supramax weakening across both basins, and Panamax continuing its decline despite some localized Atlantic support. Activity levels remained muted in many regions, with owners increasingly seeking cover ahead of the holiday period. The Atlantic showed mixed signals across segments, while the Pacific faced longer tonnage lists and weaker demand, keeping pressure on rates.
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
08-12/12/25 Agri
Dec 15, 2025
CBOT markets finished lower ahead of Tuesday’s WASDE, which was widely expected to lack bullish surprises. MATIF wheat was the exception, posting small gains. Russian 12.5% protein wheat FOB for January delivery edged up by $0.5 w/w to $227.5/t, according to IKAR. Geopolitical headlines remained in focus after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said US-brokered peace talks remain stalled over security guarantees and control of eastern Ukraine, particularly the Donbas.
Freight
Freight Recap:
11/12/25
Dec 11, 2025
The dry bulk market saw a softer overall tone, with Handysize holding largely flat, Supramax weakening across both basins, and Panamax continuing its decline despite some localized Atlantic support. Activity levels remained muted in many regions, with owners increasingly seeking cover ahead of the holiday period. The Atlantic showed mixed signals across segments, while the Pacific faced longer tonnage lists and weaker demand, keeping pressure on rates.
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
01-05/12/25 Agri
Dec 08, 2025
USDA announced no new flash sales, disappointing soybean markets. Weekly export sales remain delayed and have not yet reached the period covering the US–China trade deal, leaving the true pace of buying uncertain. CBOT corn and wheat eased, while March MATIF wheat posted small gains after finding support at intraday contract lows. ABARES raised Australia’s 2025/26 wheat, barley, and canola output, though the increases were broadly in line with expectations. Algeria’s OAIC issued a soft wheat tender for February shipment, and Russian wheat prices slipped again, with 12.5% FOB for January at $227/t.
