Weekly Freight Recap: 23/05/24
May 23, 2024
PANAMAX
Atlantic: Activity in the North Atlantic decreased as most recent cargoes were covered, leading to potential downward rate adjustments. The trans-Atlantic market weakened due to a lack of freight, causing fronthaul rates to drift. In the South Atlantic, vessel counts rose, and South American rates picked up for late June arrivals, supported by strong FFA figures. Despite a slow start post-holidays, the East Coast South America (ECSA) showed resilience with stable volumes and decent demand projected from mid-May. Overall market sentiment is firm, with expectations for higher averages in Q3.
Pacific: The market showed signs of weakening, mainly from Indonesia, due to a seasonal decline in coal demand. Despite a stable tonnage count, a lack of bids created uncertainty about the market value. Rates for longer routes improved due to steady business from Australia, with some achieving higher rates. The overall sentiment in the Pacific remains mixed, reflecting firmness in certain areas and uncertainty in others.
SUPRAMAX
Atlantic: Negative trends were observed across most segments, with rates falling sharply for vessels in the North Continent, Mediterranean, and US Gulf due to a lack of fresh volume. The trans-Atlantic sector continued to struggle, needing more fresh enquiry to support rates. In the ECSA, resistance was noted with fixture volumes for trips both East and within the Atlantic, though bids were reported to be substantially lower than previous rates. Specific fixtures included trips from Brazil to the East Mediterranean and Southeast Asia, with rates indicating a challenging market.
Pacific: The Asian market held a positive trend, with rates higher than in the Atlantic. Ultramax and Supramax vessels saw healthy fixing activity with good cargo flow, mainly from Indonesia and Southeast Asia. Rates for trips via Indonesia to Southeast Asia remained strong, with owners asking for higher rates. Despite falling indexes, demand for trips from the North Pacific and Australia remained robust, with some achieving notably high rates.
HANDYSIZE
Atlantic: Pressure mounted on prompt tonnage with limited fresh enquiry in the Continent and Mediterranean. Stability prevailed, but potential rate adjustments were noted as activity slowed in the South Atlantic. Some owners showed reluctance to reduce levels further, with more cargoes emerging from the River Plate and Southern Brazil offering hope for near-term improvements. The US Gulf struggled with restricted fresh enquiry, leading to muted activity and steady rates.
Pacific: Positivity remained evident with a steady flow of fresh enquiry across all loading regions. Owners continued to see slight gains, indicating a relatively stable Asian market. Activity was muted due to holidays, but overall numbers remained steady, reflecting ongoing stability and resilience. The market maintained its position, with a healthy level of enquiries and some rate improvements noted.
Weekly Recaps
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
6-10/1 /25 AGRI
Jan 13, 2025
Monday: Grain markets rebounded from Friday's losses, bolstered by a weaker dollar and pre-USDA report positioning. CBOT-denominated prices gained, though MATIF milling wheat remained an outlier. U.S. weekly export inspections showed mixed results, with wheat exceeding expectations while corn and soybeans remained within range. In Argentina, persistent hot and dry conditions continued to pose risks, while Brazil benefited from favorable weather. Kansas winter wheat conditions declined, adding concerns over the domestic crop.
Freight
Freight Recap:
09/01/25
Dec 12, 2024
The Atlantic market began with initial strength due to limited New Year tonnage, but rates flattened as more vessels entered the region. In the south, oversupply led to discounted rates, and forward fixing remained cautious. Spot vessels maintained premiums, but lack of fresh demand in the north and a long tonnage list saw rates ease, favoring charterers. EC South America faced additional pressure from long ballast lists and sub-index equivalent fixtures for early February.
Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
9-13/12 /24 AGRI
Dec 16, 2024
Monday: US wheat futures began the week on a positive note but struggled to maintain gains as MATIF wheat remained unresponsive. Corn saw slight upward movement, while soybeans softened ahead of Tuesday’s USDA report. The Russian wheat market showed resilience, with FOB prices for 12.5% protein wheat climbing to $228/ton, up $2 from the previous week. Concerns about the poor condition of Russian winter grains were tempered by IKAR analysts suggesting the reality may be less dire. Meanwhile, China’s Politburo announced aggressive economic stimulus measures, signaling a shift in fiscal and monetary policies, but these had minimal impact on grains. U.S. export inspections highlighted weak performance in wheat, with only 227k tons inspected, significantly below the previous week’s 299k tons.
Freight
Freight Recap:
19/12/24
Dec 12, 2024
Panamax transatlantic activity saw a modest boost as charterers sought coverage ahead of the holiday season, but an oversupply of tonnage in the East Mediterranean kept pressure on rates. Fronthaul routes remained lackluster due to weak demand from the Black Sea and continued ballasting toward Gibraltar, leaving the market constrained.
