Weekly Freight Recap: 11/04/24

Apr 11, 2024

This week's recap is as follows;

PANAMAX

Atlantic: The North Atlantic market exhibited signs of weakness despite some indications of stabilization, with rates remaining subdued due to limited fresh demand. However, there were reports of cheap voyage rates for trans-Atlantic business, contributing to further downward pressure on prices. In the South Atlantic, there was a notable increase in front haul demand, leading to firmer levels of trade. Yet, the overall sentiment remained pessimistic, reflected in the $19 drop in the BPI timecharter index, closing at $14,680.

Pacific: In Asia, the Panamax market experienced a non-descript day influenced by various holidays, resulting in drifting rates. Although there were discussions of steadier rates for deferred dates, the market sentiment remained cautious due to the lack of new demand and ongoing challenges. Despite isolated instances of stability, low activity and oversupply of tonnage persisted, painting a subdued outlook for the Panamax sector.

SUPRAMAX

Atlantic: Mixed sentiments prevailed in the Atlantic as some observed positional conditions in the US Gulf, while others noted better enquiry and stronger rates discussions. The South Atlantic market remained balanced, with the larger Panamax sizes showing signs of improvement, potentially impacting the Ultramax segment. However, overall activity remained limited amid widespread holidays, resulting in a fairly static 10TC average, gaining just $19 to settle at $13,863.

Pacific: Minimal activity was observed in Asia, with sentiments remaining fairly balanced despite the lack of significant developments. The seasonality suggests a potential bottoming out of the market with gradual rises expected in the coming months. Supportive fundamentals, including shipment volume growth outpacing supply growth, and rising industrial metals prices indicate a positive trajectory for the Supramax market in the foreseeable future.

HANDYSIZE

Atlantic: Across the Continent and the Mediterranean, the Handysize market witnessed a balanced day despite limited visible activity. In the South Atlantic, limited opportunities for prompt tonnage persisted, with expectations of improvements in May. However, minimal cargo availability dampened market sentiments despite signs of resistance to further reductions in the US Gulf and US East Coast.

Pacific: In South East Asia and Southern China, minimal activity was reported due to holidays in Indonesia and a lack of fresh enquiry from Australia. In North China-Japan, prompt tonnage levels continued to outweigh cargo demand, although some expressed optimism for potential changes in fortunes in the near future. Overall, the Handysize market remained subdued, with the BHSI falling by 3 points to 724 and the 7TC settling at $13,037.

Weekly Recaps

Commodities

Agri- Commodities:
6-10/1 /25 AGRI

Jan 13, 2025

Monday: Grain markets rebounded from Friday's losses, bolstered by a weaker dollar and pre-USDA report positioning. CBOT-denominated prices gained, though MATIF milling wheat remained an outlier. U.S. weekly export inspections showed mixed results, with wheat exceeding expectations while corn and soybeans remained within range. In Argentina, persistent hot and dry conditions continued to pose risks, while Brazil benefited from favorable weather. Kansas winter wheat conditions declined, adding concerns over the domestic crop.

Freight

Freight Recap:
09/01/25

Dec 12, 2024

The Atlantic market began with initial strength due to limited New Year tonnage, but rates flattened as more vessels entered the region. In the south, oversupply led to discounted rates, and forward fixing remained cautious. Spot vessels maintained premiums, but lack of fresh demand in the north and a long tonnage list saw rates ease, favoring charterers. EC South America faced additional pressure from long ballast lists and sub-index equivalent fixtures for early February.

Commodities

Agri- Commodities:
9-13/12 /24 AGRI

Dec 16, 2024

Monday: US wheat futures began the week on a positive note but struggled to maintain gains as MATIF wheat remained unresponsive. Corn saw slight upward movement, while soybeans softened ahead of Tuesday’s USDA report. The Russian wheat market showed resilience, with FOB prices for 12.5% protein wheat climbing to $228/ton, up $2 from the previous week. Concerns about the poor condition of Russian winter grains were tempered by IKAR analysts suggesting the reality may be less dire. Meanwhile, China’s Politburo announced aggressive economic stimulus measures, signaling a shift in fiscal and monetary policies, but these had minimal impact on grains. U.S. export inspections highlighted weak performance in wheat, with only 227k tons inspected, significantly below the previous week’s 299k tons.

Freight

Freight Recap:
19/12/24

Dec 12, 2024

Panamax transatlantic activity saw a modest boost as charterers sought coverage ahead of the holiday season, but an oversupply of tonnage in the East Mediterranean kept pressure on rates. Fronthaul routes remained lackluster due to weak demand from the Black Sea and continued ballasting toward Gibraltar, leaving the market constrained.

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