Weekly Freight Recap: 30/01/25

Jan 30, 2025

PANAMAX

Atlantic: The Panamax market continued to struggle, with limited fresh demand across the region. The North Atlantic saw some fronthaul inquiries, but these had little impact on overall sentiment. The South Atlantic remained under pressure, with a slight indication of stabilization for P6 index dates, though nearby positions continued to weaken. Rates for trans-Atlantic trades remained subdued as tonnage availability exceeded requirements, leading to further rate softening.

Pacific: The Pacific market was notably quiet due to the Lunar New Year, with minimal activity and very few fixtures reported. The limited demand made it difficult to gauge market direction, though sentiment remained flat to negative. Longer rounds were bid well below index levels, and Indonesian cargoes showed little movement. With market fundamentals unchanged, further corrections were seen in the region.

SUPRAMAX

Atlantic: The Supramax market saw another slow week, with the South Atlantic continuing to face downward pressure due to high tonnage availability. Some players felt that the US Gulf market had found a temporary floor, but the lack of fresh activity made this difficult to confirm. In the Mediterranean and Continent, limited enquiry meant rates remained under pressure, with owners struggling to find suitable employment at last done levels.

Pacific: The Asian market remained quiet with the Lunar New Year celebrations keeping activity at a minimum. With very little fresh enquiry emerging, rates continued to drift lower, mirroring the sluggish demand in the Atlantic. Cargo volumes from Southeast Asia and Australia remained low, contributing to a lack of momentum in the basin.

HANDYSIZE

Atlantic: The Handysize market remained subdued, with soft sentiment persisting across both basins. In the Continent and Mediterranean, there was some sporadic fixing, but not enough to shift overall market levels. The US Gulf and South Atlantic saw a few fresh inquiries, but the excess tonnage in the region prevented any meaningful rate improvement. Rates remained under pressure, with some fixtures reported below last done levels.

Pacific: As expected, the Asian market had a very quiet week due to Chinese New Year, with fundamentals remaining unchanged. Market participation was extremely limited, and rates continued to reflect weak demand. With many players still away, there was little expectation of a near-term improvement in sentiment, leaving the basin in a stagnant state.

Weekly Recaps

Commodities

Agri- Commodities:
10-14/2/25 AGRI

Feb 17, 2025

Wheat prices diverged as Euronext gained while CBOT declined. MATIF wheat found support from Algeria’s tender, lower Russian wheat crop projections, and a weaker euro. IKAR lowered its 2024/2025 Russian wheat export estimate to 43.0 mmt and production estimate to 77–87 mmt. Meanwhile, Russian wheat prices rose to $245/ton FOB for March delivery. Algeria sought 50k tons of soft milling wheat for April shipment. U.S. weekly export inspections showed strong wheat volumes, while President Trump’s new 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum heightened trade tensions. Despite this, Mexico’s corn purchases remained active, with the USDA reporting private sales of 365k tons for 2024/2025 delivery.

Freight

Freight Recap:
13/02/25

Feb 06, 2025

Atlantic: The market remained under pressure with weak demand and an oversupply of tonnage, particularly in the North Atlantic. Limited fresh cargo made it difficult for owners to secure strong rates, with charterers holding the upper hand in negotiations. In the South Atlantic, sentiment remained negative, with further corrections for forward positions, particularly for vessels ballasting to East Coast South America.

Commodities

Agri- Commodities:
3-7/2/25 AGRI

Feb 10, 2025

Grain markets opened on the defensive but rebounded after news broke that Mexico would delay imposing tariffs, following a last-minute agreement with Canada. This pause suggests tariffs are being used as a negotiation tactic rather than an end goal. President Claudia Sheinbaum announced that Trump agreed to suspend tariffs for a month in exchange for Mexico reinforcing its northern border. Similarly, the U.S. and Canada suspended tariffs temporarily, contingent on strengthened Canadian border security. However, China retaliated with new tariffs on U.S. coal, LNG, crude oil, and agricultural equipment, escalating trade tensions. Ukraine’s grain exports rose to 25.77 mmt, reflecting increased wheat and barley shipments, though corn exports declined. U.S. export inspections showed solid corn and soybean figures, but wheat lagged. Russian wheat prices continued their upward trajectory, while Eurozone inflation unexpectedly rose, reinforcing the European Central Bank's cautious stance on rate cuts.

Freight

Freight Recap:
06/02/25

Feb 06, 2025

Atlantic: Strong demand from South America pushed rates higher, with fronthaul routes tightening tonnage. The market remained firm for February-March arrivals, though long-term gains may be capped by weaker coal demand and slower economic growth.

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