Weekly Freight Recap: 20/11/25

Nov 20, 2025
Overview
The dry bulk market showed a steady but uneven performance, with Handysize activity quiet, Supramax maintaining a firm underlying tone, and Panamax supported by stronger fundamentals in both basins. The Atlantic remained broadly stable, supported by positional tightness in some regions, while the Pacific held steady despite lighter fixing. Period and voyage activity continued across segments, reflecting balanced supply and demand dynamics.
Handysize
The Handysize segment experienced a quiet trading day, with sentiment broadly flat and fundamentals unchanged. The BHSI closed at 820, and the 7TC average eased slightly to $14,759. The Continent and Mediterranean remained steady, supported by fresh enquiry and limited prompt tonnage, while the South Atlantic and U.S. Gulf stayed quiet with limited activity and flat rates. In Asia, the market held a balanced but subdued tone, with steady rates amid slower trading. Reported activity included a Morocco–Far East trip and short-haul Asian movements involving grains and slag.
Supramax
Supramax fundamentals remained stable, with the BSI at 1,430 and the 11TC average at $18,080. The Atlantic experienced a mostly flat day, with slight softening in the U.S. Gulf as additional tonnage and ballasters weighed on sentiment, while the South Atlantic and Continent–Mediterranean remained positional. In Asia, supply and demand stayed balanced, and owners continued showing preference for NOPAC routes due to firmer returns. Fixtures included scrap, petcoke, and grain runs in the Atlantic, and coal, Indonesia–India, and Durban–China trips in the Pacific.
Panamax
The Panamax sector remained supported by firm conditions in the North Atlantic, driven by tight prompt tonnage and stronger fronthaul demand. Shorter-duration business traded at improved levels, reflecting elevated expectations. In the Pacific, Indonesian rounds remained active, while Australia and NOPAC trades held steady. The BPI timecharter average rose to $17,057. Fixtures included U.S. East Coast fronthaul trips, India-bound voyages, Indonesian rounds, and NOPAC continuation runs. Despite some softer tones in parts of the basin, improving spot indicators and South Atlantic tightness signalled a steady underlying trend.
Regional Pulse
Atlantic Basin
Continent–Mediterranean steady for Handysize and Supramax
U.S. Gulf softer for Supramax but steady for Handysize
South Atlantic quiet for Handysize, steady for Supramax
Panamax supported by fronthaul activity and tight tonnage
Pacific Basin
Handysize stable but subdued across Asia
Supramax steady, supported by NOPAC interest
Panamax active on Indonesian rounds; Australia/NOPAC stable
Handysize-Specific Notes
Continent–Mediterranean firming slightly on enquiry
South Atlantic and U.S. Gulf quiet with limited activity
Asia balanced but slow, keeping rates flat
Geopolitical & Security Developments
EU Naval Forces Respond to Tanker Hijacking off Somalia European naval forces rescued 24 crew members from a Maltese-flagged tanker seized by Somali pirates off East Africa. The crew sheltered in the vessel’s citadel while attackers briefly controlled the ship. Increased vessel diversion away from the Red Sea has contributed to renewed piracy risks, with several hijackings reported over the past year.
Panama Rejects U.S. Claims on Free Canal Transit for Government Vessels The Panama Canal Authority denied statements from the U.S. State Department that American government vessels would transit the canal without paying fees. While Panama rejected reports of fee changes, it signalled willingness to continue dialogue. The development follows rising political tension, with U.S. officials criticising canal tolls and suggesting the possibility of reclaiming control if negotiations fail.
Outlook
North and South American grain flows expected to shape Panamax direction
U.S. Gulf Supramax pressure may persist amid growing tonnage
Pacific activity dependent on Indonesian, Australian, and NOPAC cargo flows
Geopolitical disruptions around East Africa and Panama may affect broader logistics
Weekly Recaps

Freight
Freight Recap:
20/11/25
Nov 20, 2025
The dry bulk market showed a steady but uneven performance, with Handysize activity quiet, Supramax maintaining a firm underlying tone, and Panamax supported by stronger fundamentals in both basins. The Atlantic remained broadly stable, supported by positional tightness in some regions, while the Pacific held steady despite lighter fixing. Period and voyage activity continued across segments, reflecting balanced supply and demand dynamics.

Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
10-14/11/25 Agri
Nov 17, 2025
Grain markets firmed at the start of the week as headlines about a possible end to the U.S. government shutdown lifted CBOT futures, while European wheat lagged and improved EU export competitiveness. Market participants noted that, without fresh supportive catalysts, the rally might prove short-lived. Average trade estimates placed U.S. corn and soybean harvests at 92% and 96% complete, with winter wheat 95% planted and 52% good/excellent, though official USDA data remained unavailable due to the shutdown.
Egypt’s state buyer Mostakbal Misr was reported to have bought around 500k tons of wheat for late December–January delivery, including roughly 200k tons from Russia. Russian 12.5% FOB wheat closed last week at $232/t, slightly up on the week. Brazil’s 25/26 corn crop was forecast by Safras at 143.6 mmt, well above USDA’s September estimate. U.S. export inspections showed solid corn and soybean volumes but cumulative soybean loadings remained 6.4 mmt behind last year.

Freight
Freight Recap:
13/11/25
Nov 13, 2025
The dry bulk market showed a mixed performance, with Handysize activity remaining limited, Supramax maintaining firmer sentiment, and Panamax extending its gains on stronger fundamentals. The Atlantic generally held a positive tone across most segments, while the Pacific remained steady but slower, with Asian Handysize and Supramax markets facing softer enquiry and longer tonnage lists. Period interest persisted in both Supramax and Panamax sectors, supported by balanced fundamentals and improving demand signals.

Commodities
Agri- Commodities:
03-07/11/25 Agri
Nov 10, 2025
Soybeans extended their rally on expectations of accelerating Chinese demand, while rumors of U.S. wheat sales to China lifted Chicago futures. Corn stayed firm after StoneX raised its U.S. yield estimate to 186.0 bu/acre, though many still expect revisions lower in upcoming reports. Harvest progress reached 91% for soybeans and 83% for corn, with winter wheat planting nearly complete at 91%.
Export inspections totaled 965k t of soybeans, 1.67 mmt of corn, and 350k t of wheat—broadly in line with expectations. Despite easing trade tensions, Chinese importers continued booking cheaper Brazilian soybeans, reportedly 20 cargoes for December through mid-2026. Kazakhstan’s agriculture ministry reported a 27.1 mmt total harvest, including 20.3 mmt of wheat, far above USDA’s 16 mmt estimate.
